Another great Emergency Service Line case study from Compirion's past. This one included what has become our tradition: Developing a solid predictive model and response process behind it. Predictive Modeling Magazine published an article about the work.
"That’s when predictive modeling entered the picture. The hospital was given formulas and predictive patient visit models for determining when the surge plan would be engaged. In the event of a surge, a group identified as the “Call-Back Six” were put on call to help until the volume became manageable again. The six were an ED tech, an RN, a discharge RN, a registrar, a radiology tech and a lab tech. The predictive model was developed by one of Compirion’s process analysts, Gould reports. The data used were historical in nature, he says, and were not drawn from H1N1-specific admits, but from normal sources of patient volume in the ED, such as EMS volume and walk-in patients. “From my clinical side, it gave us a fabulous tool, with acknowledged limitations, to predict volume, so that we could in turn predict staffing requirements and other needs,” he says.
Shouldn't every emergency department have a solid Predictive Model and an appropriate house-wide response procedure behind it?
See the full case study PDF for East Texas Medical Center here...
And read the full Predictive Modeling Magazine article PDF here...
